Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.264767 0.311624 0.367313 0.439228 0.530891 0.645579 0.802802
2025-02-02 0.199772 0.257964 0.336578 0.454166 0.632411 0.905094 1.382246
2025-02-09 0.161734 0.222866 0.313455 0.465128 0.730289 1.215979 2.301159
2025-02-16 0.138070 0.199983 0.298644 0.479901 0.838803 1.617812 3.870255
2025-02-23 0.120411 0.181346 0.284241 0.488400 0.939035 2.085739 6.436206
2025-03-02 0.106605 0.165716 0.270412 0.492204 1.031421 2.627620 10.741909
2025-03-09 0.095074 0.151642 0.255853 0.489194 1.106844 3.213844 17.864719
2025-03-16 0.084945 0.138296 0.239745 0.477525 1.154299 3.779009 29.049215
2025-03-23 0.079301 0.132200 0.236576 0.494920 1.299163 4.991979 64.302010
2025-03-30 0.072113 0.122120 0.223265 0.483118 1.344958 5.839038 121.803668
2025-04-06 0.067524 0.116443 0.218287 0.491773 1.471935 7.504379 353.053303
2025-04-13 0.062479 0.109211 0.208635 0.484802 1.536867 8.979735 1098.759583
2025-04-20 0.059091 0.105039 0.205483 0.496760 1.698928 12.049191 15946.776682
2025-04-27 0.056484 0.102182 0.204976 0.517180 1.926020 17.346273 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053776 0.098777 0.202570 0.531110 2.141564 24.696792 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051501 0.096035 0.201351 0.549014 2.408559 37.237603 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049105 0.092748 0.198193 0.559260 2.648853 55.283311 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046713 0.089215 0.193831 0.563838 2.864813 81.526107 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044254 0.085280 0.187810 0.560247 3.022173 115.751985 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041675 0.080833 0.179779 0.546309 3.082834 151.294326 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040427 0.079395 0.179977 0.567099 3.504956 308.007944 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038232 0.075503 0.172626 0.552990 3.566724 432.645995 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036904 0.073588 0.170791 0.563335 3.926432 960.153248 NaN